How EvanMiya works

Welcome to EvanMiya College Basketball Analytics, trusted by over 120 Division 1 CBB programs. On the site you can find team ratings, player ratings, lineup metrics, transfer portal rankings, game predictions, and much more.

The main objective of our work is to assess college basketball team and player strength.

BPR

Bayesian Performance Rating

An advanced statistical metric which quantifies how effective a team or player is, using advanced box-score metrics, play-by-play data, and historical information. This metric is predictive in nature, which means that each rating is fine-tuned to predict performance in future games.

How BPR is built

What's on the site

Team Ratings

We assess the strength of each team by calculating offensive and defensive ratings that reflect the team's offensive and defensive efficiency, while accounting for other factors, such as game pace and opponent strength.

Player Ratings

We quantify the value of each player to his team on both offense and defense. A player's ratings incorporate his individual efficiency statistics, along with his impact on the court for his team, which is assessed by looking at how successful his team was in every possession he played. These ratings account for the strength of all other players on the floor with that player in each of his possessions that he played.

Player Projections

This tool takes each player’s game-by-game history and quantifies their skill level in every major statistical category (three-point shooting, rebounding, steals, etc.) by predicting how well they will perform in that stat moving forward. These projections adjust for important contextual variables across their career, including opponent strength, offensive usage, expected year-by-year improvement, and recent form.

Lineup Metrics and Projections

We rate all two, three, four, and five man lineups across all of Division 1 basketball, adjusted for the strength of opposing players faced by each lineup. We also predict lineup performance for every 5-man lineup in the country, grading strengths and weaknesses for each based on player personnel.

Transfer Portal

This tool provides rankings for every player in the transfer portal, updated daily during the portal season. We also have transfer class rankings and advanced transfer scouting reports.

Team Breakdown Tool

This tool provides a more detailed look into player, lineup, and game performance metrics for each team.

Front Office Suite

Roster tools designed for GMs, coaches, ADs, and agents: an NIL value for every D1 player and every roster, adjustable to the current market using your own market intel, a customizable Big Board, and an advanced player search across player status, value, and skill grades.

Keys to Victory

We provide automated keys to victory for every team and provide tables and visualizations for exploring how different metrics impact a team's performances.

Game Predictions

Our advanced statistical model predicts the results of every game and provides comparisons to Vegas lines as well as "Best Bets". We also provide Matchup Previews for upcoming games, which includes predicted score calculations, team comparisons, roster breakdowns, and injury reports.

Roster Outlook

Build any team's roster for next season (returning players, transfers, or placeholder slots for players yet to be found) and see its projected team rating, along with the range of national rankings it could finish in.

Tourney Odds and Bracket Sims

During March, every team's probability of reaching each round of the NCAA Tournament, plus full simulated brackets you can click through one at a time.

Team Resumes

How each team's resume stacks up against the at-large cutline: how good its wins are, how bad its losses are, and how many wins above a bubble team it has against its schedule.

Indispensability and Conference Strength

Indispensability measures how much worse off a team would be without each player, a starting point for player value that isn't biased toward players on better teams. Conference Strength rates every conference by the quality of its best teams and by its average team.