Overview

Welcome to EvanMiya College Basketball Analytics, trusted by over 120 Division 1 CBB programs. On the site you can find team ratings, player ratings, lineup metrics, transfer portal rankings, game predictions, and much more. The main objective of our work is to assess college basketball team and player strength. We have created an advanced statistical metric, Bayesian Performance Rating (BPR), which quantifies how effective a team or player is, using advanced box-score metrics, play-by-play data, and historical information. This metric is predictive in nature, which means that each rating is fine-tuned to predict performance in future games.

There are several pages of analysis (plus several more that appear when appropriate):

• Team Ratings: We assess the strength of each team by calculating offensive and defensive ratings that reflect the team's offensive and defensive efficiency, while accounting for other factors, such as game pace and opponent strength. Read more about the new team ratings methodology here.
• Player Ratings: We quantify the value of each player to his team on both offense and defense. A player's ratings incorporate his individual efficiency statistics, along with his impact on the court for his team, which is assessed by looking at how successful his team was in every possession he played. These ratings account for the strength of all other players on the floor with that player in each of his possessions that he played. You can read more about the methodology here.
• Player Projections: This tool takes each player’s game-by-game history and quantifies their skill level in every major statistical category (three-point shooting, rebounding, steals, etc.) by predicting how well they will perform in that stat moving forward. These projections adjust for important contextual variables across their career, including opponent strength, offensive usage, expected year-by-year improvement, and recent form. You can read more about the tool here.
• Lineup Metrics and Projections: We rate all two, three, four, and five man lineups across all of Division 1 basketball, adjusted for the strength of opposing players faced by each lineup. We also predict lineup performance for every 5-man lineup in the country, grading strengths and weaknesses for each based on player personnel. You can read more about the tool here.
• Transfer Portal: This tool provides rankings for every player in the transfer portal, updated daily during the portal season. We also have transfer class rankings and advanced transfer scouting reports.
• Team Breakdown Tool: This tool provides a more detailed look into player and lineup metrics for each team.
• Keys to Victory: We provide automated keys to victory for every team and provide tables and visualizations for exploring how different metrics impact a team's performances.
• Game Predictions: Our advanced statistical model predicts the results of every game and provides comparisons to Vegas lines as well as "Best Bets". You can read more about the Game Predictions model here. We also provide Matchup Previews for upcoming games, which includes predicted score calculations, team comparisons, roster breakdowns, and injury reports.

You can find a lot more detail about these metrics at the EvanMiya Blog and on Twitter.