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March Madness Tournament Probabilities
Team
Seed
Round 32 %
Sweet 16 %
Elite Eight %
Final Four %
Title Game %
Champ %
Michigan
1
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
61.2%
47.4%
Arizona
1
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
38.8%
27.8%
Connecticut
2
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
49.2%
13.0%
Illinois
3
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
50.8%
11.7%
Alabama
4
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Arkansas
4
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Duke
1
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Houston
2
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Iowa
9
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Iowa State
2
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Michigan State
3
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Nebraska
4
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Purdue
2
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
St. John's
5
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Tennessee
6
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Texas
11
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Akron
12
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
BYU
6
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
California Baptist
13
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Clemson
8
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Florida
1
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Furman
15
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Georgia
8
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Gonzaga
3
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Hawaii
13
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
High Point
12
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Hofstra
13
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Howard
16
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Idaho
15
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Kansas
4
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Kennesaw State
14
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Kentucky
7
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Lehigh
16
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Long Island
16
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Louisville
6
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
McNeese State
12
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Miami (Fla.)
7
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Miami (OH)
11
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Missouri
10
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
NC State
11
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
North Carolina
6
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
North Dakota State
14
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Northern Iowa
12
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Ohio State
8
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Penn
14
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Prairie View
16
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Queens
15
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Saint Louis
9
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Saint Mary's
7
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Santa Clara
10
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Siena
16
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
SMU
11
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
South Florida
11
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
TCU
9
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Tennessee State
15
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Texas A&M
10
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Texas Tech
5
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Troy
13
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
UCF
10
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
UCLA
7
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
UMBC
16
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Utah State
9
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Vanderbilt
5
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
VCU
11
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Villanova
8
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Virginia
3
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Wisconsin
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Wright State
14
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
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