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Player Overall Grades

Overall

B-

Bayesian Performance Rating: 0.95
(77th percentile)

Offense

B

Offensive BPR: 1.28
(84th percentile)

Defense

C+

Defensive BPR: -0.33
(52nd percentile)

Scoring Volume

B

Projection: 23.8
(87th percentile)

Rebounding

D+

Projection: 12%
(13th percentile)

Playmaking

A-

Projection: 7.2
(95th percentile)

Court Impact

D-

Projection: -1.56
(3rd percentile)

Player Individual Skill Projection Grades

3PT Shooting

B+

Projection: 37.2%
(90th percentile)

Off Rebounds

C

Projection: 3.2%
(35th percentile)

Assists

A-

Projection: 23.5%
(95th percentile)

Offensive Court Impact

F

Projection: -1.23
(1st percentile)

2PT Shooting

C+

Projection: 51.2%
(55th percentile)

Def Rebounds

D+

Projection: 8.8%
(16th percentile)

Turnovers

D

Projection: 4.2%
(11th percentile)

Defensive Court Impact

C-

Projection: -0.33
(31st percentile)

Free Throws

A-

Projection: 84.7%
(94th percentile)

Blocks

D+

Projection: 0.2%
(12th percentile)

Steals

C

Projection: 1.7%
(49th percentile)

Fouls

A-

Projection: 2.7%
(97th percentile)

Player Projections Explanation:

All player projections take a single stat, such as three point percentage, and predict that stat for the rest of the year, taking a player's game-by-game history over time and accounting for opponent strength, offensive usage, expected year-by-year improvement, and recent form. For younger players, high-school recruiting profiles are also used to form a starting projection at the beginning of their freshman year, which become less informative toward their current projection as they play more games in college. For some statistics, recent form (how a player is performing in that statistical category recently) is much more important than their overall career average in that stat, while for others recent form isn't as predictive of future performance. For a more detailed explanation, read up on it here.