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Player Overall Grades

Overall

A-

Bayesian Performance Rating: 4.5
(96th percentile)

Offense

B+

Offensive BPR: 1.99
(91st percentile)

Defense

A

Defensive BPR: 2.51
(98th percentile)

Scoring Volume

B+

Projection: 25.1
(90th percentile)

Rebounding

A-

Projection: 28.4%
(95th percentile)

Playmaking

C-

Projection: -2.8
(23rd percentile)

Court Impact

C

Projection: -0.11
(46th percentile)

Player Individual Skill Projection Grades

3PT Shooting

D-

Projection: 28.6%
(4th percentile)

Off Rebounds

B+

Projection: 10.2%
(90th percentile)

Assists

C-

Projection: 6.8%
(27th percentile)

Offensive Court Impact

C+

Projection: +0.18
(63rd percentile)

2PT Shooting

A+

Projection: 66.7%
(99th percentile)

Def Rebounds

B+

Projection: 18.2%
(88th percentile)

Turnovers

C+

Projection: 2.8%
(58th percentile)

Defensive Court Impact

C-

Projection: -0.29
(33rd percentile)

Free Throws

D

Projection: 57%
(6th percentile)

Blocks

A-

Projection: 6.3%
(94th percentile)

Steals

D+

Projection: 1.2%
(19th percentile)

Fouls

D-

Projection: 8.8%
(4th percentile)

Player Projections Explanation:

All player projections take a single stat, such as three point percentage, and predict that stat for the rest of the year, taking a player's game-by-game history over time and accounting for opponent strength, offensive usage, expected year-by-year improvement, and recent form. For younger players, high-school recruiting profiles are also used to form a starting projection at the beginning of their freshman year, which become less informative toward their current projection as they play more games in college. For some statistics, recent form (how a player is performing in that statistical category recently) is much more important than their overall career average in that stat, while for others recent form isn't as predictive of future performance. For a more detailed explanation, read up on it here.