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Player Overall Grades

Overall

B-

Bayesian Performance Rating: 0.74
(75th percentile)

Offense

B+

Offensive BPR: 1.89
(90th percentile)

Defense

D+

Defensive BPR: -1.14
(14th percentile)

Scoring Volume

A-

Projection: 27.7
(95th percentile)

Rebounding

F

Projection: 8.8%
(2nd percentile)

Playmaking

B

Projection: 2
(84th percentile)

Court Impact

C

Projection: -0.11
(46th percentile)

Player Individual Skill Projection Grades

3PT Shooting

A+

Projection: 41.7%
(99th percentile)

Off Rebounds

D-

Projection: 1%
(4th percentile)

Assists

D+

Projection: 5.6%
(18th percentile)

Offensive Court Impact

B

Projection: +0.45
(80th percentile)

2PT Shooting

C+

Projection: 50.5%
(51st percentile)

Def Rebounds

D

Projection: 7.8%
(9th percentile)

Turnovers

A

Projection: 1.3%
(97th percentile)

Defensive Court Impact

D+

Projection: -0.56
(19th percentile)

Free Throws

B+

Projection: 83.9%
(92nd percentile)

Blocks

C-

Projection: 0.5%
(25th percentile)

Steals

F

Projection: 0.5%
(0th percentile)

Fouls

A+

Projection: 1.8%
(99th percentile)

Player Projections Explanation:

All player projections take a single stat, such as three point percentage, and predict that stat for the rest of the year, taking a player's game-by-game history over time and accounting for opponent strength, offensive usage, expected year-by-year improvement, and recent form. For younger players, high-school recruiting profiles are also used to form a starting projection at the beginning of their freshman year, which become less informative toward their current projection as they play more games in college. For some statistics, recent form (how a player is performing in that statistical category recently) is much more important than their overall career average in that stat, while for others recent form isn't as predictive of future performance. For a more detailed explanation, read up on it here.