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Player Overall Grades

Overall

A-

Bayesian Performance Rating: 3.71
(94th percentile)

Offense

A

Offensive BPR: 3.83
(98th percentile)

Defense

C+

Defensive BPR: -0.12
(61st percentile)

Scoring Volume

B+

Projection: 24.4
(88th percentile)

Rebounding

F

Projection: 8.5%
(2nd percentile)

Playmaking

B

Projection: 2.6
(86th percentile)

Court Impact

A

Projection: +1.88
(98th percentile)

Player Individual Skill Projection Grades

3PT Shooting

A+

Projection: 40.4%
(99th percentile)

Off Rebounds

D

Projection: 1.5%
(10th percentile)

Assists

C+

Projection: 9.6%
(50th percentile)

Offensive Court Impact

A+

Projection: +1.4
(99th percentile)

2PT Shooting

C

Projection: 48.8%
(40th percentile)

Def Rebounds

D-

Projection: 7.1%
(5th percentile)

Turnovers

B

Projection: 2.1%
(84th percentile)

Defensive Court Impact

B

Projection: +0.48
(79th percentile)

Free Throws

A+

Projection: 89%
(99th percentile)

Blocks

D

Projection: 0.2%
(10th percentile)

Steals

D+

Projection: 1.2%
(19th percentile)

Fouls

B-

Projection: 4%
(76th percentile)

Player Projections Explanation:

All player projections take a single stat, such as three point percentage, and predict that stat for the rest of the year, taking a player's game-by-game history over time and accounting for opponent strength, offensive usage, expected year-by-year improvement, and recent form. For younger players, high-school recruiting profiles are also used to form a starting projection at the beginning of their freshman year, which become less informative toward their current projection as they play more games in college. For some statistics, recent form (how a player is performing in that statistical category recently) is much more important than their overall career average in that stat, while for others recent form isn't as predictive of future performance. For a more detailed explanation, read up on it here.