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Player Overall Grades

Overall

A+

Bayesian Performance Rating: 6.26
(99th percentile)

Offense

A+

Offensive BPR: 5.3
(99th percentile)

Defense

B+

Defensive BPR: 0.96
(87th percentile)

Scoring Volume

A-

Projection: 27.5
(95th percentile)

Rebounding

C-

Projection: 15.2%
(27th percentile)

Playmaking

B+

Projection: 3.9
(90th percentile)

Court Impact

B+

Projection: +1.26
(93rd percentile)

Player Individual Skill Projection Grades

3PT Shooting

A+

Projection: 41.6%
(99th percentile)

Off Rebounds

C

Projection: 4.3%
(49th percentile)

Assists

D+

Projection: 5.6%
(18th percentile)

Offensive Court Impact

A-

Projection: +1.04
(97th percentile)

2PT Shooting

C+

Projection: 50.4%
(50th percentile)

Def Rebounds

C-

Projection: 10.9%
(34th percentile)

Turnovers

A+

Projection: 0.8%
(99th percentile)

Defensive Court Impact

B-

Projection: +0.23
(67th percentile)

Free Throws

B+

Projection: 82.4%
(89th percentile)

Blocks

C+

Projection: 1.6%
(59th percentile)

Steals

C-

Projection: 1.4%
(34th percentile)

Fouls

B+

Projection: 3.3%
(90th percentile)

Player Projections Explanation:

All player projections take a single stat, such as three point percentage, and predict that stat for the rest of the year, taking a player's game-by-game history over time and accounting for opponent strength, offensive usage, expected year-by-year improvement, and recent form. For younger players, high-school recruiting profiles are also used to form a starting projection at the beginning of their freshman year, which become less informative toward their current projection as they play more games in college. For some statistics, recent form (how a player is performing in that statistical category recently) is much more important than their overall career average in that stat, while for others recent form isn't as predictive of future performance. For a more detailed explanation, read up on it here.