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Player Overall Grades

Overall

B-

Bayesian Performance Rating: 0.4
(71st percentile)

Offense

A-

Offensive BPR: 2.64
(95th percentile)

Defense

F

Defensive BPR: -2.24
(1st percentile)

Scoring Volume

C-

Projection: 18
(33rd percentile)

Rebounding

D-

Projection: 9%
(3rd percentile)

Playmaking

B+

Projection: 3.9
(90th percentile)

Court Impact

B

Projection: +0.73
(82nd percentile)

Player Individual Skill Projection Grades

3PT Shooting

A+

Projection: 42.1%
(99th percentile)

Off Rebounds

D+

Projection: 2%
(17th percentile)

Assists

D

Projection: 4%
(6th percentile)

Offensive Court Impact

B+

Projection: +0.78
(92nd percentile)

2PT Shooting

C-

Projection: 47.8%
(33rd percentile)

Def Rebounds

D-

Projection: 7.1%
(5th percentile)

Turnovers

A+

Projection: 0.4%
(100th percentile)

Defensive Court Impact

C

Projection: -0.05
(48th percentile)

Free Throws

A-

Projection: 85.9%
(96th percentile)

Blocks

D+

Projection: 0.3%
(14th percentile)

Steals

D

Projection: 1%
(10th percentile)

Fouls

A

Projection: 2.5%
(98th percentile)

Player Projections Explanation:

All player projections take a single stat, such as three point percentage, and predict that stat for the rest of the year, taking a player's game-by-game history over time and accounting for opponent strength, offensive usage, expected year-by-year improvement, and recent form. For younger players, high-school recruiting profiles are also used to form a starting projection at the beginning of their freshman year, which become less informative toward their current projection as they play more games in college. For some statistics, recent form (how a player is performing in that statistical category recently) is much more important than their overall career average in that stat, while for others recent form isn't as predictive of future performance. For a more detailed explanation, read up on it here.