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Player Overall Grades

Overall

A

Bayesian Performance Rating: 5
(97th percentile)

Offense

A+

Offensive BPR: 4.21
(99th percentile)

Defense

B

Defensive BPR: 0.79
(85th percentile)

Scoring Volume

A-

Projection: 28.9
(96th percentile)

Rebounding

D-

Projection: 8.9%
(2nd percentile)

Playmaking

A+

Projection: 20.3
(99th percentile)

Court Impact

B

Projection: +0.85
(85th percentile)

Player Individual Skill Projection Grades

3PT Shooting

B

Projection: 35.8%
(79th percentile)

Off Rebounds

D

Projection: 1.4%
(8th percentile)

Assists

A+

Projection: 32.1%
(99th percentile)

Offensive Court Impact

B-

Projection: +0.4
(77th percentile)

2PT Shooting

C-

Projection: 47.8%
(33rd percentile)

Def Rebounds

D

Projection: 7.5%
(8th percentile)

Turnovers

C+

Projection: 3%
(50th percentile)

Defensive Court Impact

B

Projection: +0.45
(78th percentile)

Free Throws

B-

Projection: 78.6%
(75th percentile)

Blocks

C-

Projection: 0.5%
(24th percentile)

Steals

C

Projection: 1.5%
(38th percentile)

Fouls

A

Projection: 2.5%
(98th percentile)

Player Projections Explanation:

All player projections take a single stat, such as three point percentage, and predict that stat for the rest of the year, taking a player's game-by-game history over time and accounting for opponent strength, offensive usage, expected year-by-year improvement, and recent form. For younger players, high-school recruiting profiles are also used to form a starting projection at the beginning of their freshman year, which become less informative toward their current projection as they play more games in college. For some statistics, recent form (how a player is performing in that statistical category recently) is much more important than their overall career average in that stat, while for others recent form isn't as predictive of future performance. For a more detailed explanation, read up on it here.