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Player Overall Grades

Overall

A+

Bayesian Performance Rating: 6.62
(99th percentile)

Offense

A+

Offensive BPR: 5.48
(99th percentile)

Defense

B+

Defensive BPR: 1.13
(90th percentile)

Scoring Volume

A+

Projection: 38.2
(99th percentile)

Rebounding

F

Projection: 8.5%
(1st percentile)

Playmaking

A-

Projection: 7.2
(95th percentile)

Court Impact

C-

Projection: -0.54
(26th percentile)

Player Individual Skill Projection Grades

3PT Shooting

B

Projection: 36.8%
(87th percentile)

Off Rebounds

D

Projection: 1.4%
(9th percentile)

Assists

B+

Projection: 19.8%
(89th percentile)

Offensive Court Impact

C

Projection: -0.07
(45th percentile)

2PT Shooting

C

Projection: 49.8%
(47th percentile)

Def Rebounds

D-

Projection: 7%
(5th percentile)

Turnovers

C

Projection: 3.3%
(35th percentile)

Defensive Court Impact

C-

Projection: -0.47
(23rd percentile)

Free Throws

B-

Projection: 78%
(73rd percentile)

Blocks

C-

Projection: 0.5%
(23rd percentile)

Steals

C+

Projection: 1.9%
(62nd percentile)

Fouls

A+

Projection: 2%
(99th percentile)

Player Projections Explanation:

All player projections take a single stat, such as three point percentage, and predict that stat for the rest of the year, taking a player's game-by-game history over time and accounting for opponent strength, offensive usage, expected year-by-year improvement, and recent form. For younger players, high-school recruiting profiles are also used to form a starting projection at the beginning of their freshman year, which become less informative toward their current projection as they play more games in college. For some statistics, recent form (how a player is performing in that statistical category recently) is much more important than their overall career average in that stat, while for others recent form isn't as predictive of future performance. For a more detailed explanation, read up on it here.