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Player Overall Grades

Overall

A+

Bayesian Performance Rating: 11.12
(100th percentile)

Offense

A+

Offensive BPR: 7.91
(100th percentile)

Defense

A+

Defensive BPR: 3.21
(99th percentile)

Scoring Volume

A-

Projection: 28.7
(96th percentile)

Rebounding

D-

Projection: 9.3%
(3rd percentile)

Playmaking

A+

Projection: 29
(100th percentile)

Court Impact

A-

Projection: +1.42
(95th percentile)

Player Individual Skill Projection Grades

3PT Shooting

B-

Projection: 35.5%
(76th percentile)

Off Rebounds

D+

Projection: 2%
(19th percentile)

Assists

A+

Projection: 47.6%
(100th percentile)

Offensive Court Impact

C+

Projection: +0.18
(63rd percentile)

2PT Shooting

C-

Projection: 47.9%
(33rd percentile)

Def Rebounds

D

Projection: 7.3%
(6th percentile)

Turnovers

D

Projection: 4.4%
(7th percentile)

Defensive Court Impact

A

Projection: +1.24
(97th percentile)

Free Throws

A-

Projection: 85.6%
(95th percentile)

Blocks

C-

Projection: 0.7%
(33rd percentile)

Steals

B+

Projection: 2.6%
(87th percentile)

Fouls

B-

Projection: 4.5%
(65th percentile)

Player Projections Explanation:

All player projections take a single stat, such as three point percentage, and predict that stat for the rest of the year, taking a player's game-by-game history over time and accounting for opponent strength, offensive usage, expected year-by-year improvement, and recent form. For younger players, high-school recruiting profiles are also used to form a starting projection at the beginning of their freshman year, which become less informative toward their current projection as they play more games in college. For some statistics, recent form (how a player is performing in that statistical category recently) is much more important than their overall career average in that stat, while for others recent form isn't as predictive of future performance. For a more detailed explanation, read up on it here.