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Player Overall Grades

Overall

A-

Bayesian Performance Rating: 4.47
(96th percentile)

Offense

B+

Offensive BPR: 2.2
(92nd percentile)

Defense

A

Defensive BPR: 2.27
(97th percentile)

Scoring Volume

A-

Projection: 29.7
(97th percentile)

Rebounding

A+

Projection: 39.1%
(99th percentile)

Playmaking

D

Projection: -5.7
(9th percentile)

Court Impact

C+

Projection: +0
(52nd percentile)

Player Individual Skill Projection Grades

3PT Shooting

D+

Projection: 30.8%
(17th percentile)

Off Rebounds

A-

Projection: 11.8%
(95th percentile)

Assists

C+

Projection: 10.3%
(55th percentile)

Offensive Court Impact

C+

Projection: +0.19
(63rd percentile)

2PT Shooting

B-

Projection: 54.2%
(73rd percentile)

Def Rebounds

A+

Projection: 27.3%
(99th percentile)

Turnovers

D

Projection: 4.3%
(9th percentile)

Defensive Court Impact

C

Projection: -0.19
(39th percentile)

Free Throws

B-

Projection: 78.2%
(73rd percentile)

Blocks

B

Projection: 3.2%
(81st percentile)

Steals

C+

Projection: 1.8%
(58th percentile)

Fouls

C+

Projection: 4.9%
(51st percentile)

Player Projections Explanation:

All player projections take a single stat, such as three point percentage, and predict that stat for the rest of the year, taking a player's game-by-game history over time and accounting for opponent strength, offensive usage, expected year-by-year improvement, and recent form. For younger players, high-school recruiting profiles are also used to form a starting projection at the beginning of their freshman year, which become less informative toward their current projection as they play more games in college. For some statistics, recent form (how a player is performing in that statistical category recently) is much more important than their overall career average in that stat, while for others recent form isn't as predictive of future performance. For a more detailed explanation, read up on it here.