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Player Overall Grades

Overall

A+

Bayesian Performance Rating: 7.91
(99th percentile)

Offense

A+

Offensive BPR: 5.5
(99th percentile)

Defense

A

Defensive BPR: 2.41
(98th percentile)

Scoring Volume

A-

Projection: 28.9
(96th percentile)

Rebounding

B

Projection: 21.8%
(82nd percentile)

Playmaking

A-

Projection: 7.9
(96th percentile)

Court Impact

B

Projection: +0.6
(78th percentile)

Player Individual Skill Projection Grades

3PT Shooting

B

Projection: 36.8%
(87th percentile)

Off Rebounds

C+

Projection: 5.5%
(60th percentile)

Assists

B

Projection: 18.1%
(85th percentile)

Offensive Court Impact

C+

Projection: +0.03
(52nd percentile)

2PT Shooting

B+

Projection: 58.4%
(89th percentile)

Def Rebounds

B

Projection: 16.3%
(78th percentile)

Turnovers

C+

Projection: 2.7%
(59th percentile)

Defensive Court Impact

B

Projection: +0.57
(83rd percentile)

Free Throws

C

Projection: 71.5%
(44th percentile)

Blocks

C

Projection: 0.9%
(40th percentile)

Steals

A

Projection: 3.5%
(98th percentile)

Fouls

B

Projection: 3.8%
(81st percentile)

Player Projections Explanation:

All player projections take a single stat, such as three point percentage, and predict that stat for the rest of the year, taking a player's game-by-game history over time and accounting for opponent strength, offensive usage, expected year-by-year improvement, and recent form. For younger players, high-school recruiting profiles are also used to form a starting projection at the beginning of their freshman year, which become less informative toward their current projection as they play more games in college. For some statistics, recent form (how a player is performing in that statistical category recently) is much more important than their overall career average in that stat, while for others recent form isn't as predictive of future performance. For a more detailed explanation, read up on it here.