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Player Overall Grades

Overall

B+

Bayesian Performance Rating: 2.25
(88th percentile)

Offense

A

Offensive BPR: 3.42
(97th percentile)

Defense

D+

Defensive BPR: -1.17
(13th percentile)

Scoring Volume

B+

Projection: 25.5
(91st percentile)

Rebounding

F

Projection: 8.7%
(2nd percentile)

Playmaking

B+

Projection: 4.2
(91st percentile)

Court Impact

B+

Projection: +1.27
(93rd percentile)

Player Individual Skill Projection Grades

3PT Shooting

A+

Projection: 42%
(99th percentile)

Off Rebounds

F

Projection: 0.7%
(2nd percentile)

Assists

C

Projection: 8.6%
(43rd percentile)

Offensive Court Impact

A

Projection: +1.14
(98th percentile)

2PT Shooting

C+

Projection: 52%
(60th percentile)

Def Rebounds

D

Projection: 8%
(10th percentile)

Turnovers

A-

Projection: 1.4%
(96th percentile)

Defensive Court Impact

C+

Projection: +0.13
(61st percentile)

Free Throws

A+

Projection: 93.5%
(99th percentile)

Blocks

D

Projection: 0.2%
(11th percentile)

Steals

F

Projection: 0.6%
(2nd percentile)

Fouls

A

Projection: 2.3%
(98th percentile)

Player Projections Explanation:

All player projections take a single stat, such as three point percentage, and predict that stat for the rest of the year, taking a player's game-by-game history over time and accounting for opponent strength, offensive usage, expected year-by-year improvement, and recent form. For younger players, high-school recruiting profiles are also used to form a starting projection at the beginning of their freshman year, which become less informative toward their current projection as they play more games in college. For some statistics, recent form (how a player is performing in that statistical category recently) is much more important than their overall career average in that stat, while for others recent form isn't as predictive of future performance. For a more detailed explanation, read up on it here.